Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.034938 0.038055 0.041189 0.044570 0.048110 0.051700 0.055611
2025-12-14 0.029735 0.034327 0.039095 0.044392 0.050089 0.056012 0.062614
2025-12-21 0.026554 0.032275 0.038382 0.045332 0.052974 0.061072 0.070258
2025-12-28 0.022882 0.029295 0.036332 0.044529 0.053724 0.063639 0.075058
2026-01-04 0.020461 0.027466 0.035341 0.044700 0.055380 0.067059 0.080676
2026-01-11 0.018710 0.026231 0.034877 0.045333 0.057439 0.070836 0.086615
2026-01-18 0.017183 0.025122 0.034441 0.045895 0.059331 0.074358 0.092216
2026-01-25 0.014735 0.022701 0.032295 0.044318 0.058637 0.074848 0.094305
2026-02-01 0.013118 0.021195 0.031148 0.043831 0.059134 0.076635 0.097812
2026-02-08 0.011822 0.020004 0.030310 0.043647 0.059929 0.078718 0.101620
2026-02-15 0.011297 0.019792 0.030666 0.044898 0.062420 0.082767 0.107695
2026-02-22 0.010681 0.019408 0.030768 0.045805 0.064474 0.086290 0.113151
2026-03-01 0.009940 0.018823 0.030603 0.046392 0.066172 0.089442 0.118245
2026-03-08 0.009074 0.018000 0.030085 0.046501 0.067268 0.091871 0.122492
2026-03-15 0.008644 0.017783 0.030353 0.047605 0.069585 0.095761 0.128471
2026-03-22 0.007601 0.016568 0.029214 0.046841 0.069542 0.096788 0.131036
2026-03-29 0.006969 0.015937 0.028840 0.047047 0.070692 0.099241 0.135291
2026-04-05 0.006535 0.015582 0.028828 0.047712 0.072410 0.102376 0.140354
2026-04-12 0.006109 0.015210 0.028768 0.048297 0.074014 0.105366 0.145243
2026-04-19 0.005104 0.013773 0.027110 0.046674 0.072748 0.104798 0.145816
2026-04-26 0.004489 0.012949 0.026303 0.046174 0.072901 0.105959 0.148462
2026-05-03 0.004004 0.012309 0.025740 0.045985 0.073438 0.107583 0.151663
2026-05-10 0.003895 0.012369 0.026237 0.047275 0.075916 0.111634 0.157833